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Lanafear

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Tuesday, July 30th 2013, 9:36pm

Deflation -

---------------------------------------

Quoted

"Hiya Mr. Sanders," Billy said. "I would like to buy twenty-five pieces of candy today."

Mr. Sanders looked down at Billy and said, "That's going to be expensive. I have the candy if you have the money."

Billy reached into his pocket and took out twenty five dollars. I have the cash.

Mr. Sanders took BIlly's money and inspected it. Yep. This is the exact amount. He then reached under the counter and pulled out a box labled, "25 Chocolate Bars."

Billy's eyes opened wide with joy. He opened one of the candy bars and devoured it.

"Be careful not to eat to many at once," Mr. Sanders said. "It might make you sick."

"Trust me.... I won't," Billy replied as he winked, then turned around and left with his box of candy.

Billy hopped on his bike and peddled quickly to the playground down the street. As he pulled in, he noticed that the playground had more children than usual. He smiled. The real fun is just about to begin, Billy thought.

Billy approached one of the children. "I'll give you one of these candy bars if you give me two dollars..." Billy said.

The little kid looked at it. Mmmm... I don't know if I have the money. I really want a piece of chocolate today though. Let me go ask my brother. The little kid ran off to ask his older brother for some money. A few minutes later, he returned to Billy with five other kids.

"We heard you have chocolate for sale. Two bucks each?" One of the children asked.

"Yep," Billy replied.

Each of the five children handed Billy two dollars each. "Nom... Nom... Nom... This sure is the good stuff. Will you be here tomorrow? We are going to bring more money tomorrow." One of the children said as he began eating one of the newly-purchased candy bars.

---------------------------------------

What happened here? In this story, Billy bought 25 candy bars from Mr. Sanders at a dollar a piece. Billy took one to reward himself, and ran off to the park to begin selling the candy bars at two-dollars a piece. Billy was smart. He took something he could get for cheap, and sold it to someone else for more. Later in the week, Billy would return to Mr. Sanders with 48 dollars and buy 48 candy bars. His money practically doubled (if he hadn't have taken one for himself, he would have doubled it).

This is a story about a capitalistic young adventurer.

In Runes of Magic, there are similar oppertunities. We can go to the Auction house, find a market we like which others want... buy it and then sell it for more. This gives us more money to buy more of the item, and we do so. The initial money snowballs, and sooner than later you are wealthy.

This is called "Capitalism."
:)

Thoughts are welcome. Thanks.
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

Wilow 62S/62P/55R - Indigo


"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."


This post has been edited 1 times, last edit by "Lanafear" (Jul 30th 2013, 10:06pm)


Cike

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Tuesday, July 30th 2013, 9:55pm

wtf are u talking about?

eh, must be some reni thing...they always got weird stuff going on...
my r/p can outdps r/m. your name is stupid.

mages should stack dex. word.

Auros

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Tuesday, July 30th 2013, 11:10pm

Lana is talking about Capitalism, or how a free market works. At least in very simplistic terms. Now, some people may complain about Billy taking advantage of those kids, we call those people "Bleeding Hearts", cause they 'Feel' for the kids with their hearts. Billy might say, "hey, I pedaled hard to get those candy bars cheap and bring them to the kids" and he expects to get rewarded for his efforts, "they don't have to pay me 2 dollars, they can go to the store themselves and buy them for a buck, I'm providing a 'service'". And, he is right, they don't have to play his game, but some will because it is 'worth' it to them.

Now, what makes it interesting, and applicable to the current situation with diamonds. Somebody, we will call him Fred, offers Billy 5$ a bar for his whole supply. Whoa, what is going on here? Billy says, Oh Yeah!, sells his whole supply and quickly rides back to the store to buy another box. He now shows up at the playground, but when the kids come with 2$, Billy says, uh uh, bars are now 5$. None of the kids wants to pay 5$ for a candy bar, but they still want the candy. Kids are unhappy, QQ'ing if you will. Some want it so much they dig up the 5$. This makes Billy really happy.

But, what about Fred you say? What's up with that? Well, Fred will continue to buy Billy's supply of candy cause you see, Fred does not have to work to get his dollars, he just prints them up. Fred is a bad man, but he has lots of candy now, which he can also sell for 5$ if he wants, or trade them for other things he wants.
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Tuesday, July 30th 2013, 11:15pm

ik what capitalism means...i was just wondering how it connected...
my r/p can outdps r/m. your name is stupid.

mages should stack dex. word.

This post has been edited 1 times, last edit by "Cike" (Jul 30th 2013, 11:22pm)


Lanafear

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Tuesday, July 30th 2013, 11:18pm

Reply:

Billy is trying to make Diamonds cheaper for people, and the other Billy's aren't to happy. The first Billy keeps undercutting everybody else. Fred isn't real...

In fact, Billy actually put some real life money into the game (GASP) to make his first diamonds. He later learned that these diamonds could be sold to other players in the game via the Auction house (gasp).
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

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"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."


This post has been edited 1 times, last edit by "Lanafear" (Jul 31st 2013, 1:13am)


YomanROM

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 1:47am

i'm still missing any parts that wouldn't qualify for captain obivous.

reselling / flipping / adapting prices? you don't say!

Cike

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 3:48am

i'm still missing any parts that wouldn't qualify for captain obivous.

reselling / flipping / adapting prices? you don't say!

thats what i was talking about...or attempting to at least...
my r/p can outdps r/m. your name is stupid.

mages should stack dex. word.

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 5:38am

Wouldn't it have made sense to add a part to the story where a 2nd Billy comes around with candy bars and sells them at 75 cents a bar?

Also, why not just say "selling low-priced dias in AH for the next few days/hours/minutes/weeks"?

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 2:33pm

sell them in stacks on 10 per so you dont run out of dia so fast, and evetually if people keep seeing your low dia on ah for w/e per, eventually others will go to your level if they want to sell dia.. cuz ud be the only selling until they do.
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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 7:26pm

I'm trying to wrap my poor brain around what Lanafear seems to think that "deflation" means.

You could look it up--I did.

It certainly doesn't mean what I've seen regarding AH diamond prices (or AH prices for just about anything) on Osha these past few days. If anything, it's precisely the opposite--inflation.

And unless Lanafear wants to come back and defend his/her idea, I'm also wondering why this isn't in Offtopic.

Lanafear

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 7:43pm

Why competition = deflation

I'm trying to wrap my poor brain around what Lanafear seems to think that "deflation" means.

You could look it up--I did.

It certainly doesn't mean what I've seen regarding AH diamond prices (or AH prices for just about anything) on Osha these past few days. If anything, it's precisely the opposite--inflation.

And unless Lanafear wants to come back and defend his/her idea, I'm also wondering why this isn't in Offtopic.



Hello.

I'm not certain why you don't have the ability to understand this. Let me attempt to explain it to you:

1. Person A is selling diamonds at 134k per
2. Person B decides he wants people to buy the diamonds he has before buying from Person A. He wants this because he is greedy and impatient, and wants lots of money really fast.
3. Person B begins listing his diamonds for 128k per. Yes it is a lower price, but they will sell faster.
4. Person A notices Person B is undercutting him, and marks his diamonds at 125k per.
5. Person B noticed that Person A did this, and gets angry. Person B then decides to undercut Person A once more by listing his diamonds at 120k per.

Do you see the pattern? The reason I wrote this thread is to encourage greed amongst diamond traders, ultimately lowering the cost of diamonds on the server. While you are right that the gold market will suffer inflation, the diamond market will suffer deflation.

Soon everybody will have diamonds for cheap, while few people will have gold.
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

Wilow 62S/62P/55R - Indigo


"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."



KatalanOrk

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 8:35pm

So we are taking for granted that supply is greater than demand. What happens if person A and person B don't have unlimited diamonds, sell all their stock and person C who has ignored them and had their diamonds listed at 250k the whole time is now the cheapest seller?

Free market economics are childishly simple in basics, fiendishly impossible to predict if you have spent your entire life studying them - but generally, and I am going to stick my neck out a bit here, I think they tend take periods of more than 5 minutes into account.

So on Reni, do you have more supply than demand? And if you have more demand than supply, do see any little problems with such an analogy?

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 8:41pm

Sure....until Fred steps back in. And Fred is real, he is the guy buying all the diamonds on the AH no matter what price they are listed at. As long as there is a Fred you will have inflation. Because Billy would much rather sell his candy for 5$ than for 2$.
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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 9:20pm

First post is moot if i spend Real money on a virtual item i want as much as i can get due to the fact that i cannot farm the gold because i work too much to play that many hours a day.all i see is end game gear that is way overpriced to sell diamonds to purchse said items.
Its all about math here how many diamonds do you need to sell at a certain price to buy 1 piece of endgame gear........ This is why i no longer strive to be endgame its just to expensive to buy gear with money.i will gear 1 time per year now rather than everytime a new lvl cap is introduced. The arguments go on and on and nothing is solved just people getting angry at each other......no fun in that at all!
Its a game its meant to have fun not grind forever to buy a pice of gear or pay 200 dollars for an unstatted piece of gear.
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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 9:38pm

Well Lanafear/Ziim and his other alts are playing the AH :

Selling gold for 100K per diamond
turns around and put those diamonds up for 137K per diamond.

So basically being the arsehole of the server and raising prices up on Reni. Great job on that one, you will make lots of friends by doing that. BTW good luck getting on runs.

Now just wait and see the prices of gear go up to the roof. Again great job and you are as clueless as to what you are doing.

Also if someone tells him a story from someone from another guild, without verifying the facts and then offers 50M gold to kick one of your officers, loll. It will be nice having a billion gold all alone in your corner playing with yourself.

Too many have tried this crap and it always backfired on them, so have fun.

/close thread

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token123

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Wednesday, July 31st 2013, 10:05pm

Here is a different perspective on the matter. Lets look at this on a percentage basis. When I quit playing back when the lvl cap was 60 things were much much cheaper all around. However there is ALOT more gold in circulation now. Especially with the hacking that has been going on. So if diamonds and items have gone up 100% in price and the gold in circulation has gone up 100% then things really are no more expensive. If you are a person who works the auction house and buys and sells stuff then this inflation really has no effect on you because you are selling your items at a higher price and are making more gold. On the flip side, if you are a person who relies strictly on a set income(via dailies and other passive incomes) then you will be greatly effected by the inflation. In my opinion, the reason there are so many discrepancies on the matter is because the game has a wide variety of players ranging from the casual gamer(like myself) up to the guy who never leaves his computer. For this reason there will never be a perfect solution. However there have been many things added to the game to accommodate people of all natures. Take the shell gear, memento gear and the bags that drop in Syrbal Pass for example. All of these things can be obtained without an excessive amount of gold and can be used to make a great set of starter gear(the current stage I am in). Yes being able to buy an OD piece of gear from someone would be nice but its not a necessity. Remember back when there was no such thing as an Advanced Bind Lifters? When we had to group up and farm for hours so that every person could get a piece of gear. Personally I think that's half the fun of the game. It also seems much more rewarding to me when I work for it. Anyway this is all just my opinion. Happy Gaming!!!
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Lanafear

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Thursday, August 1st 2013, 12:41am

Re to Zidlef

I only play Lanafear and Ziim on Reni.

You mentioned I have alts... But no. These are my actual friends. ;) I've convinced them to start playing ROM again...

Also... you said, "BTW good luck on getting runs."

As to this, I have several interesting points to add.
1) Earlier this week you were calling leaders of other guilds to band together and do instances. Why such a sudden change of heart?
2) What is to stop me from joining your guild with one of my alts and getting gear for my guild that way (if your guild was considered gear worthy...)? How do you know I haven't already (mwahahahaha).....
3) Why do you care so much about how I play the game? How come you don't focus on you... and I focus on me? I like that idea.

Meh. Besides this, how did your response contribute to my discussion on dia prices on the server? From now on I'd like to see only good discussion on my threads about the subject at hand. Some may be right - it wasn't clear that Dia prices were the discussion at hand from the first post, but because of the volatile nature of the discussion, I know that it would soon lead that direction.

Anyways, Wish you best of luck Zidelf. Goodnight.
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

Wilow 62S/62P/55R - Indigo


"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."


This post has been edited 3 times, last edit by "Lanafear" (Aug 1st 2013, 6:24am)


Lanafear

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Thursday, August 1st 2013, 7:13am

Re to KatalanOrk - we have infinite supply

Here are some interesting points:

1 - Gold will always be less valuable than diamonds: Gold can be farmed, and shared with other players. With the exception of small burst "vendor buys," gold earned by people generally stays in circulation - making it more accessible. There is going to be inflation due to this. Item prices will go up- and new players will see them and say "That is too expensive." But as another post said, this is expected with the increase in gear drops and time that has elapsed since the early days.

2- Diamonds do in fact have an infinite supply. Since the start of Runes of Magic, players have been willing to dish out cash for in-game currency. As long as Gameforge continues to hold certain "item-shop" items hostage from easy access within the game (items that do a lot for the players), then people will be interested in having diamonds.

3. Some people don't favor those "elite items" as much as other players do. Some people favor other items such as rare drops from high-level instances that they can't get themselves. We look at the prices and say !!!OMG!!! I can't afford that!!! So we figure out that our hard earned american dollars can contribute to our gaming experience by trading our dollars in for game-currency, which can be traded and profit gained.

4. Some have said that "Diamond prices can inflate." This is ridiculous. I've been around Runes of Magic since 2009. Diamond prices have generally stayed the same. Sometimes, during double dia weekends or whatever... they actually get cheaper for cash-payers to buy! Diamond prices are just like everything else in the game. Just like a ginormous and non-depleting stock of gold, all items generated in-game technically have the ability to be over-supplied. When the supply is higher, the demand is lowered (because more people already have it.) However, when a group of people control the supply, the demand can also be controlled. For the most part, Diamonds are rare (because they dissapear when you use them). This means - that diamonds are not in high-supply. Just like those amazing rare gear drops... diamonds are highly sought after. People are willing to pay more and more for them as gold is devalued (due to an ever increasing supply).

So what am I saying? That diamond prices are an illusion. Some people think that because there is not a high-supply, they are limited in amount. This isn't true. Diamonds are unlimited. I bought 20 dollars worth today. I will buy again in the future. As long as I can exchange my dollar bills for diamonds, I will exchange my diamonds for gold. Because there is such a high supply of gold, those selling great gear increase the prices of the gear they are selling. Because of this, I need more gold to afford what I want for my toon. Because of this, I need to sale more diamonds. Because of this... dum da dummmmm..... I need to buy more dias! :)

I can promise two things on the Reni server:

1) My guild will buy your diamonds at higher prices than **mostly** everybody else. We know you want gold, and you know we want diamonds. Sell dias to us. Buy our gold from the Auction House.

2) My guild will sell diamonds to you lower than "mostly" everybody else. We know others out there want diamonds more than us, and we are willing to sell for cheap. Buy diamonds from our guild when we post in the Auction House.

Things you should never ever do - Because it really does mess with the economy: 1) Hack/duplicate items, 2) Buy gold from external websites, 3) Fight over it (since it's just a game and we need to have fun).

Anyways, there we have it. A great discussion so far. Thanks. :P
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

Wilow 62S/62P/55R - Indigo


"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."



KatalanOrk

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Thursday, August 1st 2013, 9:01am

1. Probably I should think up something clever and biting using the phrase 'Captain Obvious'. But let us forsake the necessity of being rude to people on the internet and just let's accept that bought with real money currency is more valuable than in-game earned currency.

2. While there are no phyical limits on diamonds, as they are a virtual currency, the are supplied only against purchase with real money. And as there is a limited supply of real money to the game, diamonds are limited. In real world situations people can take their profits and reinvest, such as Billy with his chocolate bars. Even if becomes so successful that the shop no longer has the stock to satisfy him he can contact the manufacturers direct, who can supply him even if they need to reinvest his money to increase production. In a game, however, there is no direct correlation between diamonds and dollars. Once you have made your profits and have lots of in-game gold, you cannot then reinvest in diamonds except if someone else is buying them with real money. Your profits can not lead to greater production. Again this is such a basic concept, that I do not quite understand your misunderstanding of it.

3. I totally don't get your distinction between rare, elite and expensive. They are all the same, except in extreme cases as monster cards where something can be rare and expensive, without actually helping the character any. Again if your point here is that some people will use real life currency to get things that they can not or will not earn in game, again this is pretty much a basic feature of a micro-transaction game.

4. If I may deviate from my promise to not be insulting, this is where we reach true idiocy. Diamonds have more value than a dollar price. Indeed, no one wants diamonds for themselves. No one buys 3k diamonds so they can stare lovingly at the number on their screen. The dollar price per diamond is indeed very stable, but there are two other very important concepts of diamond value. One is the gold price. For a proper idea you would also have to calculate some sort of index that would give you also a gold value. If the gold price inflates, then the diamonds devalue. You need more diamonds to buy the same things. The other point of value would be to calculate how many diamonds you need for one character. As refining increases from +6 to +12 to +16 to +20, then you need more diamonds to plus your gear. So they are devalued again. This also leads to greater diamond consumption per player, so a smaller percentage of bought diamonds being resold, meaning inflation of the gold price due to higher demand and lower supply, meaning again more devaluation of the currency.

In conclusion, if you are speculating, you cannot buy higher and sell lower than everyone else. Not unless you are subsidising your whole operation. You must buy lower and sell higher, by definition. Your promises then are false, the qualification of *mostly* does not change the basic message of what you are saying. At best what you are saying is that you will be less damaging to the economy than other speculators.

I don't see how this is an interesting discussion. So far, you have only given the most obvious of premises and used to support illogical conclusions through what I can only assume are deliberate misinterpretations of terms and concepts. The only reason that I am replying at all is the sick morbid fascination of waiting to see what your reply will be. I have no doubt that I will be left disappointed. It's like trying to discuss evolution with someone that believes in Intelligent Design. Everything is so twisted to fit a set of beliefs real discussion is impossible as the terms involved just don't mean the same things.

WTB 3 umptybillion diamonds on Reni - supply is unlimited.

Lanafear

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Thursday, August 1st 2013, 2:56pm

Response

Just look at the AH. Our Dias are so cheap they are almost always sold out.

Look at the gold page... We try to come online a few times a day and make adjustments, but we wanna pay the most for our Dias. Currently I am asking for around 1000 Dias at 103k per. My biggest competitor is asking for Dias at 101k per. :/ I think I actually am the highest payer.... But my money is definately growing (in game currency).
Ziim 82M/61Wl. Guild leader of Fairytale on Reni (lvl 10)

Lanafear 60D/53M/50S - Reni

Mekel 72M/55Wl. Guild leader of DeathByMuffin on Indigo (lvl 8 )

Wilow 62S/62P/55R - Indigo


"So-what if I'm the villain? I kind of like it..."